With much hype around all the opposition political parties coming together in India against one party, Media and political analysts are creating a buzz that Modi/BJP/NDA will loose the battle because all the other parties coming together constitute 65% of vote share.
I am no expert in politics neither in political science but yes you can consider me an expert on India and Indian Thought Process. I’ve been doing Market research since 14 years and “reading the mind of the subject” is one of my special powers. So here is what i have to tell India that in Indian Politics 30% + 30% ≠ 60%.
I have extensively traveled across India Especially Uttar Pradesh. Agra, Lucknow, Ayodhya, Allahabad, Gorakhpur, Banaras and many more cities have had my presence at some point or the other. My roots lie in Rajasthan and I have seen the way people live and think in the northern “Hindi Belt” as media fondly calls it. Here is my take on the current status of Mahagathbandhan and the threat to Modi/NDA.
If my analysis is right, NDA will procure at least 70% seats in LokSabha Elections 2019 as compared to 90% in elections 2014. 20% loss can be attributed to some anti-incumbency and MahagathBandhan top leaders benefitting from alliance but elsewhere it will be MODI/NDA.
I’ll keep this blog updated once the results are out to check if my analysis is right or wrong. I will also post my personal exit poll results on 19th May 2019 after all the voting is over.